Bookstores are a happening place -- selling electronic gadgets.

Meanwhile, Borders appears to be a zebra with a lion on its back, jaws clamped around it's throat, falling onto it's knees, and soon to fall in the dust of the Savannah. To feed the jackals. (Estimates are that Barnes and Noble will pick up 18% of their sales...)

Barnes and Noble, on the other hand, appears to have had a spectacular Christmas.

Actually, when I think about it, this doesn't surprise me.

They have the "new, hot" thing: the Nook. They have a "Happening" vibe going. Can't beat that for creating foot traffic.

Most of their increased sales were in the electronic realm, but apparently they didn't do too shabby with games, toys, and even....oh, by the way....books.

I wouldn't be at all surprised if most of their Nook customers also picked up a game or toy. Or, weird as it sounds, a book. I always say, if you can just find that "new, hot" thing that everyone is buying -- and get the customer to just open his wallet an inch -- than you can usually get them to spend money on other things, as well. If nothing else, other customers will see the activity and want in on the action. It takes on a "Happening" vibe, and sales just take off.

That apparently happened for B & N. this Christmas.

I still think it's a short term boost at the expense of their long term prospects, but who knows?

National Sales were great! Well, sorta. Actually they sucked.

Just as I do a blog every year about how forecasting Christmas sales is stuff and nonsense, I always end up writing a blog about ten days after the first of the year, pointing out that all the prognostications were guesses, and were probably wrong.

I'm not sure I even believe the official numbers -- too many ways to manipulate. Too many ways to hide the unprofitability of higher sales masking lower margins.

Anyway, from todays Wall Street Journal, by way of the Shelf Awareness blog:

General Retail Sales in December: Gain Is Less than Expected

"General retail sales last month were up, but did not meet expectations as the "holiday shopping season finished weaker than it started for store chains ranging from Target Corp. to Gap Inc., thwarting hopes that leading retailers would raise profit forecasts from strong sales," the Wall Street Journal reported."

I know, it's about "expectations" -- but I'm telling you, things weren't anywhere near as rosy in the real world as they were trumpeting just one week ago.

I guess they do this to try to reassure the public -- don't stampede them, folks.

Selling hardcover bestsellers.

Slowly, but surely, I'm allowing myself to buy best-seller hardcover fiction.

You know, one copy of books like FREEDOM, by Jonathan Franzen, or MATTERHORN, by Karl Marlantis.

Because, you know, all I have to do is sell one copy, not dozens.

There has developed a little bonus I didn't foresee.

Almost every new copy of a hardcover book I get, even ones I buy from discount houses, is a First Edition.

So -- when the books have more or less disappeared from the Costco feeding troughs, and the Barnes and Noble endcaps, I'll still have a nice First Edition hardcover of a great book.

Now, as you know, I'm not a great believe in speculative buying -- but there's nothing wrong with having a nice, crisp First Edition copy of something if you're going to get a book. It's a little extra selling point -- not a deciding factor, but every little bit helps.

I'm getting more and more comfortable in both the boardgame and new book sections, that if I buy QUALITY -- it WILL sell. Sometimes not right away, and not in vast quantities -- but enough to keep it going.

tittertat

Quirky girl, heavily tattooed and pierced, came in looking for "Tim Burton" books. Showed her THE MELANCHOLY DEATH OF OYSTER BOY, which of course she already had.

She left.

I wanted to tell her there were other intriguing artists in the world, but.....well, that is something she'll have to discover for herself.

***********

John Edwards is left out of Elizabeth Edward's will:

Well, of course he is.

**********

It's Oprah. "Piers Morgan reveals Huge first guest." (Huff. Post.)

That's not nice.

***********

Sometimes after cruising the net, coming back to my own, ah hem, blog is refreshing. It's simple and clean and words and thoughts and feelings and all that. No flash, dash.

Everyone online is trying so hard to be clever-- to dazzle the eyes and mind.

How will Kindle or any other e-reader resist the temptation to gussy up the words -- to distract from the text?

I bet they can't.

Have you ever tried to buy a simple cell phone, one that only -- you know, like phones?

**********

Guy came in looking for an art book his girlfriend saw, that is "big and white."

Looking around, we came up with at least 4 candidates.

He thought "it might have 'ink' in the title," which winnowed it down to about two and a half possible books.

Yes, folks, there are many art books in the world. Even big and white ones...

The sounds of modern life.

It was funny how much whizzing and whirling and beeping and clicks and sampling and other assorted electronic noises filled the living room while Todd and Toby were here. 3 androids, two laptops, big screen T.V., DVD, other phones, microwaves, etc. etc.

And these guys are near 40 years old! I wonder what it must sound like in younger homes -- unless all the noise is segregated to separate rooms, I guess.

I just stuff my head in the first page of a book and transport myself out of there.

We started talking Kindle and I-pad, and Toby made the case that most people simply can't afford them, yet. "I can still buy a used book for a few bucks," he said.

I'm definitely more wary than either of them are.

Tron

Both Todd and Toby have been home this week, which is a rare alignment of stars -- especially with Toby being in Oklahoma these days.

Toby's natural habitat seems to be the kitchen; Todd played WOW a whole lot. Mostly we sat and talked and watched T.V.

Yesterday, Linda and I both got away from work long enough to see Tron with the two guys.. Sadly, the only time we could fit in was the non-3-D viewing, but it was still a fun movie.

Especially with the two boys. I came into Linda and their lives just a few months after this movie left the theaters. Those were the days of video game parlors -- in fact, I was managing one when I met them, along with my duties at the comic shop next door.

"We went to that movie, like, 17 times, " Toby said.

"And we paid for it at least 6 times," said Linda. (They were scofflaw little scamps before I entered their lives....)

Thing was, they were a little meercat unit when I came along, protective of each other, the boys rallying around their Mom, and their Mom protective of her brood.

I was so lucky they let me in.

Reading saved my life.

I was watching a documentary about the movie Jaws, and at the end of the show they flashed a glimpse of the 'best-seller' list from the year 1974. I froze the list on the screen and realized I'd read 9 out of the top ten.

In fact, I think that year I read a couple of hundred books (I remember over 250, but that can't be right, can it?).

Many of them were the best-sellers of the day.. This ain't bragging. I was the depths of my depression and agoraphobia and was staying in my tiny little quad room and reading and reading and reading....venturing out for a movie....some T.V.......then to the library to load up and then back to reading....movie....reading.....reading....

I was a vampire. A reading vampire.

Later on, when I looked over that list (which I can no longer find) of 200-300 books I read, I realized I had read a lot of, well, bad books. I would finish everything I started in those days, and wasn't very discerning about quality other than I liked something or I didn't like something.

I read many authors and titles I would never go near now -- in fact, I tried reading some of these authors years later and discovered they truly sucked -- but, hey, I know who they are and what they're about and even understand the appeal when someone asks for them now.

An irony is that my selection of books completely reflected the Zeitgeist of the popular culture of the moment -- during the time when I was more emotionally and physically separate -- alone -- than any other time in my life.

Despite my solitariness depression, I remember still being intellectually curious and hardly ever bored.

I think, in a way, reading books saved my life.

Christmas to Christmas comparisons.

The biggest surprise was how little difference there was between Christmas 2010 and Christmas 2009. As I said, we were all but even in sales, overall.

Comics: Were down about 7%, which considering all that has happened and is happening with comics, tain't bad.

Anime: I really need to just drop this category. Not a player, anymore. Sell a few hundred dollars worth, here and there.

Game cards: Almost exactly the same as last year, which considering I have two competitors established I didn't have then, tain't bad.

Sports Cards: O.K. There was change here. Down considerably. And I don't care.

Sorry -- deserves a bit more than that after our long and sordid history. There are fewer brands, which means less attention, which I think means less sales -- in the short run. Like the cheaper comics coming from DC and Marvel, though, I think this will help in the long run.

Games: After all my crowing about how well boardgames were doing, I came out a few percentage points ahead of last year. But that just means LAST years was really good, too. I still think this is an encouraging category.

Graphic Novels: Were up a third. But that's because last year's sales were surprisingly down, and I attribute that to the fact that art books were more often put into the New Book category last year, which would explain:

New Books: Slightly down this year, but I think the boundary between G.N.s and Novels is a little vague, and varies a bit from month to month. Probably should just choose if art books are one or the other.

Toys: Almost exactly the same as last year.


So, I feel like the space, time, energy and money devoted to each of the sections is appropriate to their importance to the store. For the first time in a long time, I'm not wanting to make any major changes, just incremental improvements.

Hey, buy both and I'll give you 10% off!

For a more complete analysis of Christmas sales, I'll break them down into categories.

But one thing I must say upfront. I felt the need to discount rather more than I prefer. What I found myself say over and over again, was: "If you buy more than one, I'll give you 10% off."

While 10% isn't much, it still drags on our profits and our inventory replacement.

Fortunately, sales were good enough that all bills were paid, and all inventory that needed to be replaced was replaced. So no harm done.

I just thought it was something that should be pointed out. If consumers spent more this Christmas -- and I don't know if my experience was universal -- they were also kind of demanding a bit of a price break before they pulled the trigger.

Last year, I think I stuck to my guns a bit more.

Next post: the particulars...

The King's Speech and True Grit.

Went to see The King's Speech on Sunday. (I asked for The King's English at the box office --- doh, I knew I was going to do that...)

Good old-fashioned movie.

I thought it ironic it probably has more swear words than any movie you'll see this year.

And that the f-words and sh-words are hilarious and almost totally innocent.

**********

Off to see True Grit.

Later:

I loved this movie. Best movie I've seen in ages. Couldn't imagine how they could improve enough on the old movie to make it truly unique, but I was wrong.

Some reviewer I read said it wasn't a 'funny' Coen brothers. What movie did he see?

It really felt like I was up in the woods in Central Oregon.

A star is born in the girl -- she was apparently only 12, playing 14, and she was pitch perfect. Matt Damon really has become a good actor. Jeff Bridges is Jeff Bridges -- and John Wayne -- and Rooster Cogburn.

A Central Oregonian's review of the N.Y.Times.

Hmmmmmmmm.........

I do not remember The New York Times Book Review being quite so small.


Let's do a little anthropological study, shall we?, from the viewpoint of a Central Oregonian?

My first brilliant observation is -- there is more content. Yeah, it's the Sunday paper, but it still seems as thought content is deeper, longer, wider. Even the photography seems bigger.

I always get the feeling that most other papers are truncating their articles -- but with the N.Y.T. you get the feeling you're getting the beginning, the middle and the end. It's all original material, with an editorial focus that gets lost, I believe, when you use feeder material like just about every other paper out there.

Given it's reputation, it's much less political than I would've expected. I think reading Huffington Post, Slate, Salon, (liberal) and the economic blogs (mostly conservative) has given me a constant diet of political "slant." The N.Y.T.'s feels like old-fashioned, keep your opinion out of the store, journalism to me. Middle of the Road.

Of course, I'm not parsing every sentence or every story, but it feels more solidly news.

There are six sections, not counting the New York Times Magazine and The New York Times Book Review.


News.
Business.
Style
Travel.
Week in Review.
Sports.
Arts and Leisure.

New York Times Magazine
New York Times Book Review.

As I said, I subscribed to the paper mostly to get the New York Times Book review, which I will read or skim all the way through. Book knowledge for my store.

The New York Times Magazine looks interesting, actually. I think I'll probably take it to the store and read it there.

Arts and Leisure, I read most of .... can never read too many movie reviews, and I'm fascinated by the arts -- from a comfortable distance.

Sports and Travel I glanced through...

Week in Review I read much of ...

Business I read some of...

Looked for references to Pacific Northwest. (There's a review of Portlandia, a new T.V. show.)

The Style section didn't have a thing I cared the least about .Must be a New York thing; devoted to nothing but fashion. Really, one sixth. Actually they call it Style, so a few other items are in there, but mostly it's about clothing and makeup and style and social etiquette.

So...pretty much the same approach to reading I take with every paper I get; the Oregonian, The Bulletin, U.S.A. Today.

Most of the stories are more in-depth -- at least longer.

No real insight here -- except that my own tolerance for longer stories has dwindled the more I read Huffington Post and USA Today online.

My fault. I'm trying to get past it.

Subscribing to the Sunday New York Times is a start.

Sub-conscious figurings.

O.K. Why so many nightmares since about mid-December? I don't usually get nightmares.

Well, stress, for sure.

But more, I honestly believe my subconscious doesn't trust when things are going too well.

"Don't get complacent, Bub."

**********

Priorities.

I went into a downtown merchants store on Christmas Eve, and said: "You win. You're the biggest workaholic! I'm going home!" (This was about 6:00.) "How was your Christmas?"

"We had a great Christmas," the owner replied.

"Well, that's great. We hit last's years totals, so I'm really happy..."

"Oh, you mean sales? I meant, my family was all home for Christmas and we had a wonderful time! Sales at the store were down by Half."

"Um....Oh," I said.

I really don't communicate with other downtowners well. It's always like we're talking at cross purposes. I'm just a little too obsessive about business. (You think?) Then again, maybe that's why I'm still around.

**********

Speaking of which -- I'm getting the distinct impression that most merchants in Bend maybe didn't do quite as well as I did. So I need to keep my mouth shut. (See above comment: "Don't get complacent, Bub!")

It was definitely luck that boardgames had a big year and I was able to tap into it. Just one of those things. There have been more than enough times in my career when I was doing horrible while everyone around me was doing great, so I don't put much stock in it.

**********

Speaking of subconscious. There is a weird calculator in my head.

I just added up debts and revenues and they almost EXACTLY match. Not only for the month of December, but for the entire year.

Of course, you might say. It's just budgeting.

Yeah, but what if your budget includes material you ordered six months ago, three months ago, last month, and last week? What if your "fill" rate (material you ordered which actually show up) varies from 50% to 90%?

What, in other words, happens if you ordered a truckload of chocolate ice cream, and everyone wants vanilla?

Meanwhile, you are completely trying to guess how much the customer will spend, which is only slightly less difficult than predicting the weather.

Matching your orders to actual sales is more an art than a science. You can budget and calculate all you want -- won't matter if things don't happen the way you think they will. And things never happen the way you think it will.

So how is it even possible that I can hit January 1, 2011 with exactly as much money as I need to pay off all the bills?

The last two weeks before Christmas, for instance, are total chaos. I'm buying and selling on the fly -- I have no real idea if things are matching.

But subconsciously, I must be doing some calculating. This is a very subtle thing.


Here's what I think it is. Practice, practice, practice. I'm typing these days ten times faster than I typed 20 years ago, or 40 years ago when I took a typing class in high school. I watch my fingers moving over the keyboard, and I'm not thinking about it, I'm simply doing it.

I have as similar knack of being able to calculate volume of product and space in the store, and how it can all be accommodated. I don't have time -- hell, most of the time I don't know -- to actually measure the dimensions of what's coming in. I just know whether it will fit or not.

Again, I think this is just practice. Doing it every day.

If you do something long enough, and often enough, you pick up a few tricks.

Sunday's this's and that's.

I've taken to saying to book customers when they leave, "Thanks for reading!"

What do you think?

**********

You can be two kinds of busy.

The kind where the 20.00 and up trays starts to fill, and you run out of 1.00's.

Or the kind where your 1.00 and 5.00 trays start to fill, and your 20.00 looks skimpy.

You're busy in both cases with customers, but what the customers are spending are totally different.

You'd rather have either kind of busy than no busy at all, I guess.

**********

There is a high art to 'damning with faint praise.' If you do it right, you can get your point across, but the person can feel unoffended.

Of course, it's best you not point out that it's 'damning with faint praise,' which is why I'm talking about it now -- floating in this random bunch of observations.

I suppose it's a kind of weaselly sort of criticism, but...will it gives a bit of a fig leaf to the target as well as to the praise-er of faint praise....

This blog is just 'fine', don't you think?

Don't you do it....

**********

There is a kind of instant karma in bad buying decisions. I can't tell you how often I see someone buying the wrong book because they want to save a couple of bucks. Instead of buying the right book for the right price, they buy the wrong book for a lower price.

And I always flash forward and think about what I feel about a book when I finish -- whether I enjoyed it or didn't enjoy it, learned anything or not, etc. etc.

I don't believe the price of the book even enters my thinking once I've read it....

**********

I think my paltry drinking will become even paltrier.

I skipped N.Y.'s Eve because I was in the middle of a really good book. But decided to drink 3 beers last night.

Had horrible dreams, tossed and turned all night, had an upset stomach. Arrgghhh. Just not worth it.

************

Got my first Weekender New York Times today. Christmas present from Linda. I've been hinting about this for --oh, 10 years or so, ever since my Mom forget to renew my New York Times Book Review subscription.

I'm really looking forward to draping myself in a warm blanket and a hot cup of coffee and reading it.

Alone, of course.

**********

Reading as a social activity?

Nah, uh. No way, Jose. Not doing it. Arrgggghhh. It's my book and I'm reading it and --

NOT happening.

**********

What is it about Bend...?

What is it about Bend that causes newcomers to overextend?

I'm sure it happens everywhere, but it seem particularly acute in Bend. People come here and seem to completely misjudge the level of business they can do here. Always on the high side. Almost always.

I think sometimes that people see Bend as a nascent Eugene, say -- or some Rockie mountains tourist town, or California coast town. Someplace like that.

Having lived in Bend my whole life, I see us as more as an overgrown Prineville. Burns with a few mountains nearby. Having watched ALL businesses struggle just to survive throughout most of the 80's, it was eye-popping to see people pouring into town and seeming to transform it overnight.

And yet, what fundamentally had changed? Tourism got bigger? Retirement got bigger?

Of course, we know the bubble inflated the construction and real estate industries. And it followed that retail and services would expand to meet the perceived need. But it was more than that. It seemed as though enough people wanted a vibrant restaurant and theater and music and sports scene, and by-golly that what they got.

But...the financial underpinnings still seem pretty weak to me. The dollar producing industries seem lacking. Tourism and retirement is a minimum wage job producing industry.

I'm not saying you can't succeed in Bend, only that it's tougher than it looks. Something about the isolation, the demographics, the lack of an interstate, the de facto lack of a four year university, lack of major industry, dependence on tourism and retirement, etc. etc.

These factors somehow belie the 'metro' status of Bend, the overall population, which would seem sufficient for all kinds of enterprises but lack the cohesive support of outlying or connecting populations, in my opinion.

Part of the problem is the idea of coming to Bend to prosper, to get rich. I think if you are smart, you come to Bend to 'get by' , to survive, and eventually -- if you are lucky and work hard -- prosper. But if you want to get rich quick? Bend probably isn't the place.

Anyone who lived here in the 80's instinctively knows this. I believe there are opportunities which longtimers understand come along every few decades or so to really make lots of money on the enthusiasm and innocence of newcomers -- but the really smart oldtimers know it won't last. Make hay.

I also think that when Bend became an official metro area (we were metro at 50K + 50K whereas we weren't metro at 49K + 49K) the chainstores piled in, because --- that's what chainstores do. It's in their ponzi nature to expand wherever and whenever possible.

I suspect some of them, after a couple of years, looked at their sales figures and went -- "Wow. Wasn't this supposed to be a metro area?"

Ironically, I think the very excess of growth in this town may actually tide us over until there is enough financial underpinnings to support them. I suspect a whole lot of wealth is being drained away, but as long as these newcomers can hold it together, they may get by.

And the next time there is a boom, they'll probably be like me, and be a little cautious and suspicious but try to make hay while the grass is growing.

Sorry to start the year so bracingly, but that's how I've been thinking about the end of the year.

Happy 1/1/11!

Final book reviews.

Well, reviews is too grandiose a word for what I'm doing here. Let's say, capsule summaries.

I ended the year at 53 books read, one more than my goal of 52. I don't know why, but setting an artificial goal keeps me on task.

I'm determined to read 6 books a month next year. And at least 1 graphic novel per week at the store.

Dirty Money, Richard Stark: This is just straightforward crime caper. Parker, the lead character is utterly ruthless, but fair. When you become a threat, he walks up you and shoots you. Done and done.

The Eagle of the Ninth, Rosemary Sutcliff. Had a customer come in and ask for this book, and told me a movie was being made. It's about a "lost" Roman legion in Scotland, and the son of the commander who goes looking for answers.

Turns out to be a 'young adult' historical and a bit old fashioned in style. It was published in 1954, and what it reminded me most of, was how PRIMED I was for fantasy because I grew up reading historical adventures like this --

Lustrum, Robert Harris: The second fictional novel about Cicero. I recently read a biography of Caesar, and what's amazing about these novels are how accurate they are in the larger incidents, which makes me want to trust the smaller details.

There should be a Latin phrase for that: Veritas in the large, ergo Veritas in the small. I would make that my motto. (Or vice versa).

Happy New Year's Everyone!!!

Happy clam dancing.

If you had told me going into December, that I'd be within 10% of last year's sales this month, I'd have been as happy as a clam.

If you had told me that I'd be within 5% of last year, I'd have danced a jig. A happy clam dancing jig.

If you had told me I would actually exceed last year, well -- I'd have done an happy clam dancing ballet for you.

In the end, I'm saved from having to do a happy clam dancing ballet by a grand total of ----$112.42.

For goodness sake, if I'd known I was going to be that close, I'd have stayed late a couple of extra nights or something. This is a statistically insignificant percentage down from last year, less than 1/2 of 1%.

I think this is an especially good number since last year was the 4th month of a 7 month increase in business, so to match that is really accomplishing something.



When the national media reports 3 or 4% ups or downs as significant, a 10% drop may seem rather drastic. But actually, at least in my business, I tend to see regular increases or decreases in that range.

A 10% drop, in fact, is pretty easy to handle. A slight adjustment to my spending and everything is fine and no one will notice. Sometimes, I can even adjust mid-month and hit my goals. Even a 15% difference can be handled, if not quite as easily.

Now 20% differences or more, that's takes more effort not to be harmed. But, I fully expected a 20% drop.

Most of the last nine months have been in the easily adjustable range, except for two significant exceptions. In both August and Sept., I was down 25% or so, and what that meant was that my credit card balance did not get zeroed out like I prefer at the end of every busy season. I had to put that off until this Holiday Season.

Anyway, I went into this season planning for a15% decrease, with the flexibility in my mid-month spending to adjust down to 20% or up to 10%. When I saw Christmas was going to be better than I expected, I started making some extra boardgame and new book orders.

The biggest and most effective change I've made in the second half of this year, was to make my "savings" automatic. I have a set amount pulled out at the same time every month, so it is necessary for me to plan or budget for it.

It is turning out to be much easier to accomplish savings this way, than the way I've been trying to do it for years -- attempting to squeeze some profits out at the end of the month. Making it a solid part of my budget, and then needing only to meet that budget, has made a huge difference.

It meant, for instance, that this Christmas I was able to spend the extra profits I was making on more product, because I knew the savings were already taken care of.

Apparently I just needed that extra step -- the impersonal withdrawal of a set amount each month. Shrug. If it works, it works.


So I can take every bill I have, pay them in full, zero out the credit cards and lines of credit, and have a little pocket change left over.

I'll go into more detail later --

Boardgame Palooza

I've been talking about how well boardgames have been doing this Christmas. It's not dramatically higher than last year, but considering everything, it felt a little stronger this year.

I think these games are approaching the tipping point.

Tipping into national awareness, instead of word of mouth. I mean, those who know -- know. For those who haven't heard of them, I always say, "Well, you heard it from me first, but you'll hear about it again."

Anyway, becoming a national phenomenon is both good and bad for us. During the first third or so of an upsurge (as I said, I think it's gaining steam) we'll do very very well. If I'm careful to have them in stock while the other guys continue to have spot shortages people will come to us.

But eventually, as I always say, supply catches up to demand. And then piles on.

If it hits the chainstores, all bets are off. I foresee Settlers of Catan and Carcassonne and Ticket to Ride selling for massive discounts.

But then it will start not to be so "cool" anymore, and ....well, it'll be my job to recognize each stage of the cycle.


To the games themselves:

It's been a long time since I could "cold" sell an item in my store with any kind of consistency. I'm talking about a product that the person walking in the door had no intention of buying -- maybe even something they hadn't heard of. This is really hard to do.

European boardgames have been that item this Christmas -- and these aren't even all that cheap, at least for my store, running in the 30.00 (Carcassonne) to 42.00 (Settlers of Catan) to 50.00 (Ticket to Ride and most other major games.) 100.00 (Huge boxes of Warcraft and Descent.)

I call Settlers of Catan the "gateway drug" of boardgames. Many people have at least heard a glimmering of it -- followed closely by Ticket to Ride. (Railroads!)

Over the last couple of years, I kind of developed a sales patter for boardgames, which I've had a chance to refine. You know, you talk about a product enough, you start to realize which phrases people are responding to, and you keep those, and you discover which phrases people aren't responding to, and you throw those out.

I can't vouch for a 100% historical accuracy in the following spiel, but I'm pretty sure it's close.

"So we've all played Risk and Monopoly, right? But those games get sort of -- predictable, you know? You settle on one strategy, and that's that.

"When they tried to make the games less predictable, like Axis and Allies, they became overly complex, taking way too much time to learn.

"So, about 15 years ago..." (Catan has a copyright of 1995) "...some of the European gamemakers made some substantial improvements. They, in a sense, reinvented the boardgame and it's been pretty big in Europe every since. American games have followed suite, and there are many cool boardgames in every subject -- from pirates to S.F. to humor to historical to....

"The best game to start with is Settlers of Catan, followed by Ticket to Ride, followed by Carcassonne. But any of them are fine as the starter game.

"Here's what makes them great.

"1.) The setup to the game is different everytime. So you can never play the same strategy twice. It has endless complexity and fascination and yet....

"2.) They are easy games to learn. Usually about halfway through the first game..." (I snap my fingers), "you suddenly understand it."

"3.) They are interactive and cooperative games, that you can play with your family or friends. And people forget how much fun that is. Anybody from about 8 years old on up, but it isn't just for kids, or even primarily for kids.

"4.) They are strategic games -- they rely less on Luck than most old American style games.

"5.) Here's a really cool feature. You don't know who's winning the game until its over. Everyone is "in" the game to the end.

"They only take about an hour to play, most of them.

"6.) And finally, I like to point out that the production quality of these games are very high. They just feel and look good. Usually people play these games at a friend's house, and then they GOTTA have it. Because they're addicting. It's sort of a word of mouth -- cool -- sort of thing so far."

So that's it, tailored to the individual customer, of course.

So, some people, if I'm glib and on a roll will actually listen to the whole spiel and will be wavering....

Here's where the two secret Christmas ingredients comes in.

The first secret ingredient is my own enthusiasm; I've really enjoyed Settlers of Catan and Ticket to Ride, and I'm a relative newbie myself, so I can relate.

The second secret ingredient, are the other customers. Someone in the store will pipe up and confirm, "That's a GREAT game!"

If I don't have someone doing that voluntarily, sometimes I'll turn to the most likely customer and ask, "Have you played the game?" and sometimes they have.

So put all those ingredients together, mix them together into the feverish Christmas buying pot, and....

I'll sometimes make a sale. It's not every time, by any means. But more successful than most "cold" sell situations.

If they turn me down, I always just comment mildly, "Well, you heard about Settlers of Catan from me first, but you'll hear about it again. In fact, as 10 friends and I'll bet one of them has played it. Or, go online to, say Boardgamegeek. com, and check out the whole scene. You'll be amazed..."

Baby, it's cold outside.

"Unemployment claims drop." National headlines.

Maybe they've just run out of people to fire.

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I've learned my lesson. I need to get my haircut and beard trim before the holidays. Because once the holidays get here, it seems to be impossible to schedule. I'm a gray, hairy beast.

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I need a holiday from the holidays...

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Borders has run out of money to pay its vendors.

Hard to be a store when you don't have stuff to sell.

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I still get the occasional urge to rent a movie.

If Blockbuster disappears, will we see a small resurgence in small, local rental stores? Maybe?

It would seem to be an analogy to small bookstores versus B & N's and Borders. People who still want books may be willing to frequent the neighborhood bookstore, again.

Or will they end up in the back of some chainstore, or something.

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Can't be a good sign for the Green Hornet movie that absolutely no one has asked for the Green Hornet comic.

I've had inquiries about the Green Lantern stuff -- but again, not so much the comics.

Green Hornet -- Green Lantern. I can see the confusion already.

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I always felt that the Cascade group of magazines here in Bend served a particular niche.

I've never known whether this niche is typical of metro areas, or whether it was unique to Bend. When you look at their advertisers, there are a whole lot of construction and real estate people in there, and that had to have been a drag over the last couple of years.

I just don't feel like being harsh toward this venture. The owner showed a whole lot more civic spirit than I've ever shown, for instance. The optimism level was a tad --high, shall I say? But people seem to like that, "Never mind the funnel cloud, we're having a picnic!" attitude.

The trying to separate "personal" from "business" debts seemed a little convoluted, but who knows?

If you take them for what they are, I see no reason not wish them good luck.

Do you have chess sets?

So, I posted the following message on a national game retailers bulletin board:

"We did well with boardgames this Christmas.

But I must have had a couple of dozen customers ask for chess sets and or cribbage.

Thing is, I carried a basic 40.00 wooden chess/backgammon set for a year, and was turned down by just about everyone.

After I sold it, I kept asking, "What kind of chess set are you looking for?"

"Oh, just your basic set."

My theory is they come in not looking for "a" chess set, but "the" chess set; one they already have an image of. And the chances of me having "the" chess set are minimal; maybe it'll be wood and they want crystal. Maybe they'll want Star Wars and I'll have LOTR's. Something.

I have a Pirates of the Caribbean that no one has even had a follow up question. Not interested.

I also don't really have room to display chess sets, and I have a feeling this is probably necessary.

Anyway, Alliance seems to only have a small selection of them and doesn't seem terribly interested in them.

My questions; does anyone here do well with them?

How do you go about it?

Where do you buy from?



The answers were: What You Said.

Everyone seemed to have the exact same experience.

I was telling a customer this, and he said, "Hey, What's the problem? We used to play with coins."

"Really? You needed coins? I used to just play it in my head!"

"Oh, yeah? 3-D? I'm talking 3-D."

"But, of course...."

Anyway, someone else mentioned that you can play chess online now, what do you need a board for?; and I was somewhat thunderstruck. Of course. I haven't played Solitaire with an actual deck of cards in ages.

Does anyone know of someone who sells Chess sets in town?

It's a matter of expectation...

I don't want to be one of those guys who pops up and says, "We're doing great, what's wrong with you guys!" (If being within 1% of last year is "great.")

I hate those guys.

Like I said, boardgames were a good seller this season, and that was a lucky thing. (More about that, next entry.)

I'll say it again, if I've said it a hundred times. It's not the actual sales that matter, it's what you expected the sales to be. Not only is your overall mood and motivation affected by the expectation game, so are the real blood and guts results.

That is, if you overestimate, you'll overspend -- both on overhead and on cost of goods. (The opposite is true, also -- but that's much safer place to be. Underestimating sales, you can easily recover from simply by picking up the phone and ordering more.)

Preferably, you want to be in a kind of sweet spot of having adequate overhead and product, with the flexibility to do more or less, as the days unfold.

I'll have more about what I ACTUALLY expected sales to be this Christmas in a blog for tomorrow night.

You'll probably get tired of me talking about it -- but, this really is the end of a long week/month/year, and it really is time to take stock of where I've been and where I'm going.