My regular visits online.

The 25 or so sites I regularly visit?

MEDIA:

Huffington Post
USA Today
Slate
Salon

POP CULTURE:

Rotten Tomatoes

COMIC NEWS:

Comic Book Industry Alliance
Game Industry Network
Comics Reporter
Journalista!
The Beat
Diamond Comics
ICV2
Shelf Awareness

LOCAL NEWS:

The Source
KTVZ.com
Bend Economy Bulletin Board

BLOGS:

Bend Blogs -- I check out a lot of local blogs through this and;
Pegasus Books Blog Roll.

ECONOMIC BLOGS:

Naked Capitalism
Big Picture
Calculated Risk

Less often;

Mish's Global
Financial Armageddon
Keypoint Partners.


Of course, there are lots more sites on my "Favorites" which I regularly visit, but these are the big ones.

Channel surfing rut.

I actually have a fairly limited menu of sites I visit everyday. Probably 20 or so. I don't go looking for other sites unless one wanders into my attention span. I tend to stay away from all the you-tube type sites, and stick to informational. I even eliminated sound from my computer because I don't want to be distracted. I don't want to watch video on my computer.

But damn. I can visit the same sites multiple times throughout the day.

You know how when there is an emergency on T.V., and you keep checking for updates, but nothing really changes and nothing new is reported?

Well, visiting the same websites every other hour is about as useless.

Same with T.V., of course. But I've -- mostly -- weaned myself off my channel surfing there. For instance, I don't turn on the T.V. through the day whatsoever. I start watching about 6:00.
I need to learn to do the same thing with the internet.

Meanwhile, the Wii is just driving me nuts, so far. It always seems to malfunction just as I'm ready to use it, and I am NOT patient with machines. If they don't work, I walk away from them. Fuck em.

I'm not being totally fair to Linda, because she's delighted with the infernal machine and wants to show me all her penguin and snow ball fights and all that fun stuff, but doesn't seem to be able to show me how to get on the same program. So I stand there for five minutes trying to figure it out, and then throw up my hands and stomp away muttering.

Rather than being impatient with her, I need to take some free time and figure it out for myself.

But damn, I hate machines. And their damn machine logic. Which isn't Duncan logic.

Anyway, the real point of this entry is to give myself a good talking to, about how much time I'm wasting.

There isn't anyone looking over my shoulders these days. No one telling me what to do and how much and when or any of that. Linda seems happy with me. She and I both give each other permission to do as little or as much as we personally want.

I still have a few parental tapes -- especially my Mom's "Get off the couch and Do Something!"
But really, there is no one who really cares except me.

I think just about ANYTHING would be better than continually surfing the internet and or couch surfing the Big Screen.

Arts and crafts. Reading. Gardening. Driving around. Walking around. Visiting. Playing games. Diving in spiritual realms. Even Napping. Anything.

I'm going to start by trying to create a bit of regime. Denying myself is always easier than making myself do something, so the first step is to create some rule about how often I check the websites.

Maybe once through in the morning; and once through at night. Something like that.

Check my blog a few more times than that, to make sure comments get posted. But nothing further.

Secondly, start dabbling again in fiction writing. Not to sell, not to show anyone else. Just for myself.

Get out of the house, is another thing I need to concentrate on. Doesn't matter what I do, just get out of the house.

I know, pretty pathetic. But...I don't have pressures on me right now, I have more free time than ever, and I'm really not making good use of it.

Starting tomorrow. One go through in the morning, and one go through at night.

This and that.

Seems to me there has been a shift in tone in the news about foreclosures.

It used to be, "Homeowners in default." "Homeowners foreclosed upon."

Now it's, "Banks Seize Homes."

***********

Everyone talks about how the media has a negative slant. But I see the opposite. Articles about how great Bend is for retail, for instance.

Even crowing that the low vacancy rate has kept leasing prices up.

I think there is a lot of smoke and mirrors going on here, but as long as there is always a new business ready to open, prices aren't going to drop to levels that HELP the small businesses.

I'll keep repeating it: retail openings do NOT reflect a strong economy. They aren't even open yet! How can they prove anything, except a desire to open a business?

*********

Or the example of housing sales picking up. Well, maybe. A little. Though it seems to me that building permits were down last month. So what we're getting are glowing reports from the local real estate industry, and if you are still listening to them....

But -- Wow -- the example in the paper today? A 1928 sq. ft. house for 139K? Well, sure. That's, what? 71 cents a foot? Ouch. Hard to cheer that, if you are invested in a home in Bend.

**********

The selling of the Evergreen School in Redmond is like a perfect example of how government officials overestimate the value of their holdings: they end up selling for 250,000 which is only -- let's see -- I think it's slightly lower -- sometime like ----20 TIMES lower than their original asking price!

Remember that every time they talk about the value of Juniper Ridge or any other public
project.

Handsome building, though.

**********

Really, Student Body of C.O.C.C.? Hiring a lawyer and a public relations consultant?

I cringe whenever public monies are spend on "consultants." And -- as a small business owner -- I know that you avoid using a lawyer. If you have to resort to a lawyer it means you've failed miserably. There are usually so many things you can do to compromise or research on your own or even just pass on the notion of doing -- but hiring a lawyer is a money drain of major proportions.

And public relations? Total fail.

Wearing a parka in 80 degree weather.

Imagine, if you will, that you have to lay out your wardrobe a full month in advance. Imagine that you pick long johns and a parka for the 1st of the month, but the day arrives and it's 80 degrees outside, but you HAVE to wear it! Or, imagine that you pick shorts, t-shirt and sandals and the day arrives and it's 30 degrees and two feet of snow outside....and you HAVE to wear it!

To me, trying to ascertain sales a full month (or two or three....) in advance is a lot like trying to predict the weather.

Oh, like the weather, you can get general seasonal differences correct, but you are lucky to get any one particular week, day, or hour right.

I know what you're thinking. "What....budgeting again?" I see your eyes glazing over. "Dear god, mister! You do go on about budgeting!"

But sometimes I feel like budgeting is the whole ball game. The difference between success and failure, between making a little money, a lot of money, or no money at all.

It's not the only thing, of course. There are many more elements to a successful business, and indeed, budgeting only really matters if you've already got the rest of it right: The right product, the right location, the right hours and employees and set up and so on....

But budgeting is what I struggle with, day in and day out.

I'm probably kidding myself that I can ever arrive at the ideal budget. It probably changes from month to month; and yet, that's the point. It can't change month to month, or it doesn't work.

It's a bit of a Catch-22.

Sticking to a budget when circumstances are changing can be foolish.

But changing the budget to constantly changing circumstances can be foolish, too.

So far, in this latest downturn, (the last six months or so), I've been oddly lucky in that the 'bad' circumstances have proceeded the 'good' circumstances.

In other words, when I'm trying to arrive at a budget, bad sales have made me prudent, which have then been followed by good sales, which has made back the money.

If it had been the other way around, I would have arrived at a higher budget, followed by bad sales, resulting poor profits.

But the whole point of budgeting, in some ways, is to avoid this yo-yo effect.

If I have the correct ( in-the-middle budget) in both good months and bad months, it should even out.

It's hard -- if you've had a good streak -- to go with a budget that is lower than you think you need.

It's just as hard -- if you've had a bad streak -- to go with a budget that is higher.

That's why it's important to arrive at a budget that has some continuity, and sustainability.
And which averages out over good months and bad months.

Because I'm not always going to be lucky (?) enough to have the bad weeks proceeded the ordering of new product.

I know this is kind of vague -- it has to be, because it's a combination of being both flexible and solid; steady and variable, predictable and surprising.

In the end, I suppose it's more of an art, than a science.

there's always sumpthin....

and sumone....

Sure enough, as soon as DC announced they were backtracking to 2.99 cents on their comics, there were some complaints about how this was going to cut into retailer's profits.

Possibly. Maybe even probably.

At least in the short run.

The argument that people aren't suddenly going to start buying comics they haven't bought before is probably true. But it doesn't take into account that most new titles will be more attractive at the new price point, and there are always new titles.

It's also true that people will buy good comics at 3.99 and won't buy bad comics at 2.99, but that seems to beg the question.

Hopefully, they'll buy even more good comics at 2.99.

At any rate, my reaction to this will to be to order MORE DC comics, AT LEAST to the dollar amount I'm currently spending, and possibly beyond.

It will allow me to order an extra Green Lantern or two, an extra Batman or two, and an extra few copies on any new series, and so on, and I'm betting that opportunity will be rewarded by sales that will make up the lost margin.

Even if that doesn't happen, I still think it's better to have a viable sustainable price point than a price point that is permanently off putting.

Splendid splinters.

I noticed that Mountain High Coin has changed the second half of their name from "and Collectibles" to "and Jewelry."

I'm betting they had a constant stream of 'collectible' sellers. It's like a Red Flag.

**********

I know it's an obvious observation, but golf courses struggling doesn't surprise me because they were built on two booms -- Tiger Woods and Bend Is Special.

Always plan for a Tiger Woods mistress kind of thing....booms hide the downside, but there is always a downside, because there is always a cycle.

You build for the lowest, or at least the median, of your possible business outcomes -- not the peak boom outcomes.

**********

Linda yesterday bought a Wiii system, which didn't delight me at first.

But she got me up on that platform, and I created an avatar which I think is pretty cutely me, and I set up for the Fitness Program.

I'm totally lost trying to understand their instructions, and my first "Wiii Age" is 78 years old. "Fall over much?" it asks.

The program is a little snarky, you know? I didn't expect that.

Anyway, I retook the test (actually, it was a different one) and I came out at a 38 year old age. Even there, I for some reason halfway through the test I started moving the damn handset around, instead of my body, which is a little strange, but that particular balance test I probably could've kept going and going. (Hey, I was an ace at "Asteroids", and this was just a physical version of that...)

Thing is -- I haven't played video games not because I don't like them. To the contrary, I know I'll like them TOO MUCH! And so I apparently have another Time Suck in my life.

But Linda is loving it, so be it.

This is her conversation just now(lots of enthusiasm): "I was a penguin, and I was a bubble, and I was a snowboarder, and then I did this game of balance where there are little balls which you drop in little holes and the balls have faces, your face and my face, and, Oh I did hula-hoops, too! and....."

Oh, boy.

**********

I don't want to jinx things at the store, but this month is SOOOOOO much better than last month. Last month SOOOOOOOO sucked.

Said the spider to the fly....

Some of the comic publishers are coming up with schemes to lure readers into comic stores so they can qualify for online comics, and pay the retailers a small fee.

Hmmmmm.....

I think I will skip that part.

The figure I'm currently hearing is about a .20 kickback.

Thanks but no thanks.

I don't see this as working from either side: the customer can skip the entire trip if he's so inclined, and it is an extra step for little return for the retailer.

How long did Tower Records last after MP3's, anyway?

I'm still doubting that my customers are going to move wholesale -- wholesale, eh? -- into digital comics. But I leave open the possibility that I'm wrong, because I've already witnessed the collapse of manga and anime in my own store, as well as the ongoing destruction of the record and video stores.

I'm fortunate in that my career is going to last, I believe, just about long enough that I can spin out the various scenarios and adapt my product lines accordingly.

I'm extremely doubtful of book stores being able to have machines in their stores which can manufacture books on demand. That seems just silly to me -- and extremely non-cost effective. Red Box doesn't need an entire video store surrounding it, after all.

However, I do believe, after all is said and done, that there will be specialty game, toy, card, comic, and book stores. And record stores and even video stores. Just not as many, and 1.) supported by the owners or 2.) little tiny shops or 3.) located in major metro areas where they can scoop up a small percentage of customers.

I'm a firm believer that stores work by having inventory on shelves that customers want.

Everything else -- all the schemes and promotions and bullshit that manufacturers want to load onto the work load of the retailers -- is extra. It won't save a faltering shop, and not doing it won't destroy a viable shop.

But I'm an extreme minority here. Most retailers are convinced they have to do all kinds of extra services -- signings, giveaways, advertising, play space, coffee and crumpets, whatever....or they won't make it.

This whole digital online / brick and mortar retailer partnership that is being foisted upon us appears to me to be complete nonsense. It takes us away from what we do best -- the physical curation and presentation of books (or games or toys or whatever; and puts us into the realm of what we can't do as well -- online sales.

It's playing their game, not ours.

Sunday snippers.

Spectacular sunrise this morning.

**********

Kitty is being a yo-yo. Wants in, wants out, wants in, wants out....

Winter must be coming, her fur has thickened into a fabulously soft glossy coat.

**********

I got nothing. As you can tell.

**********

Honestly, I don't understand why a state House seat would generate hundreds of thousands of dollars in campaign money. Really? A state representative has that much influence? Can affect things that much?

What does it pay, by the way. Minimum wage? (Googled it: 1800.00 a month -- slightly above minimum wage.)

So its, What?, not a whole lot less than half a million dollars raised among the three candidates for a state representative job?

Like being a city councilor, it seems like a thankless job.

**********

Contractors hire foreign workers with Stimulus money?

Kind of begs the question, doesn't it. Why hire foreign workers if you can hire Americans if you are going to pay the same?

Do they work harder? Easier to control?

We are so fucked....

**********

Linda gave me a little book, A Manual for Living, by the philosopher Epictetus. "This sounds like what you're always saying," she says.

Reading it, I'm gobsmacked. It IS EXACTLY what I'm always saying, right down the line.

I wish Mom was alive so I could ask her if she had read the book and passed along it's thoughts. She talked about Stoic philosophers a lot, and Epictetus is considered a Stoic philosopher, so I think the chances are pretty good.

It can't be a coincidence -- it's just too much straight down the line the way I think....

**********

Saw a documentary on FACEBOOK on Cnbc last night, with the 'Winklevi' and Eduardo and Zuckerberg and Sean Parker. Uncanny similarity to the characters in The Social Network -- which makes the movie more believable -- if they got that right, maybe they got some of the rest right.

Maybe not.

**********

Dear Bank of America....Please go away.

So I get a 'bill' from Bank of America for our Home Equity Line of Credit.

At Zero. 00.00. No balance.

O.K. But why did they send me this?

Wait.....you don't suppose they still think we have a RELATIONSHIP do you? Could that explain it?

Dear Bank of America:

See....you cut us off when we still supposedly had 20k credit left, a couple of years ago. Hey, Bank of America, YOU broke up with ME. (Never mind, I dated Columbia River Bank, woke up in bed with Countrywide, and got kicked out of bed by Bank of America.)

We no longer share joint custody of the house. The house is all mine (and Linda's, of course.)

I've paid you off. We HAVE no relationship. I don't want to be friends. I don't want to go out with you, or buy you dinner, or take you home.

Please leave my life, forever.

Let the customer decide if there is a problem.

As candid and straightforward as I try to be in this blog, there is one thing I do not do.

I do not point out problems with comics to customers. Or, more to the point, I let them tell me if it's a problem.

I constantly read of other retailers complaining that customers "hate" this or that; while in my store, I hear no such thing.

My guess is that the owners are talking about their own biases; "I hate what they've done to Superman." "Wonderwoman's new costume is ugly." "Oh, ANOTHER cross-over...."

That kind of thing.

And then they complain about their customers having the same feelings.

So, like I said, I prefer to let customers make up their own minds. I mean, I tell them when I think something is really good. I'll be honest if they ask my opinion, but I don't voluntarily subvert a title.

For one thing, tastes vary.

My biggest customer was drawn back into the comic industry by the Clone Sage in Spider-man (Peter Parker was a clone, and not the real Spidey). This series is one of those landmark failures in comics, and yet, here's Rick -- loving it, coming back and reading comics.

So, like I said, I let customers decide.

So when both DC and Marvel comics jumped the price on a lot of their comics from 2.99 to 3.99 a comic, I kept quiet.

Sure, I thought it was nuts to aggressively raise prices in the Great Recession, but I figured my customers would decide for themselves how to handle it. Loudly complaining in my store seemed like suicide.

Well, apparently, both DC and Marvel have decided to retreat from this price point. They are going back to 2.99 on "new" comics, whatever that means. Which I think is kind of amazing. And rare. I suspect the blow back was extreme.

I haven't noticed that comic sales have dropped that much, but then again with 1.00 more per comic, just staying even means I may have lost a hefty percentage of readers and unit numbers.

It remains to be seen how many titles will be affected, or how the consumer will react. But getting 4 comics at 10.80 (with the standard 10% discount) would seem a whole lot more promising for the longterm health of the industry than getting 3 comics at 10.80.

A mess gets messier.

Seems to me that early on in the Great Recession, I read about a couple of judges who were throwing out foreclosure judgments because the banks didn't have proper documentation.

Then that phenomenon seemed to fade away.

So, over the last couple of years, I would constantly read that loan modifications were difficult to achieve, or that short sales were extremely time consuming and difficult to close. But I heard no more about foreclosures being thrown out of court.

Then -- over the last couple weeks -- the foreclosure "Mess"; I used that term in my first entry about this, and it's the same word I've seen over and over again in the national news -- came back with a vengeance.

A Mess is a Mess is a Mess.

So what I'm wondering. Did we not hear of anymore successful foreclosure challenges because the banks got their act together, or because they found ways to cover up their ineptitude better?

Because if -- as I suspect -- it's the latter, we've got even more of a mess. Not only do the courts and government have to figure out who amongst all the packaged mortgages actually owns the papers, or is supposed to own the papers, we may have to go backward a couple of years and UNTANGLE the foreclosures which have already happened.

Which will probably be even more complicated.

It's like what they say about cover ups. It isn't the initial crime that gets you in trouble, its all the laws you break trying to cover it up.

*************

Hack Bend was wondering about the odd circumstance of WineStyles closing at the same time that three new breweries were opening.

Well, to borrow a saying about second marriages -- that they are a "triumph of hope over experience" -- opening a business is about hope.

Staying in business or closing is about experience.

As I keep commenting about the churning of businesses downtown -- opening new business reflects the relatively strength of the reputation of downtown, but does not necessarily reflect actual economic conditions.

**********

I seem to be far enough away from the downtown plaza to notice any problems, so I hesitate to comment. It must be bad enough that the nearby merchants would be willing to experience some bad publicity in order to get it resolved.

I will say this much -- this is one of the reasons that "Malling" the entire downtown would be a horrid idea.

Traffic cleans away the arteries, if you will.

Do you want good? Or do you want GREAT!

I like to encapsulate my business strategy with a single phrase -- a theme, if you will.

I think my theme going forward will be: "Keep the Store Up."

That will put the emphasis on maintaining the very high level of inventory the store is currently at.

Just keep asking myself, "Will this keep the store up?" (Is this extra? Is this really necessary? Is this something new I need to keep the store up? Is this something I can let go of, and still keep the store up?))

**********

Linda and I went to our meeting with our accountant about taxes yesterday, and today I went to see the doctor so I can get my prescriptions.

So got both chores out of the way in just two days, and I don't have to think about them for another year! Don't know why these things are stressful to me. I feel limp, like the starch was taken out of me....

**********

The article on foreclosures in today's Bulletin was parsing the numbers pretty finely. Yes, there might have been a slight drop in the increase of foreclosures in the latter part of this year, but it doesn't seem all that significant.

3,031 so far this year, and 221 in all of 2006.

This town is hurting.

**********

Again, I showed up at work after a relatively slow day to find the register full of 10's, 5's and 1's;
instead of 50's, 20's, and 10's. Another sign to me that the customer is willing but the wallet is weak.

Tourism numbers are interesting in that they are apparently up; but I think most of those dollars are in motels; not necessarily in stores...

**********

We have great books and we have good books and we have mediocre books and we have bad books.

The great books are few and far between, and I generally recommend them away when they show up at all.

So to make sure I have them in stock, I carry them New.

I read so many books, and I have talked to so many people, that I know with a pretty high degree of accuracy what books a customer is likely to like. If they tell me half a dozen authors they like, I can point them to the very best authors and books in that particular part of the genre.

So a woman tells me what kind of mysteries she likes, I know from what she tells me that she would love the Jane Whitefield mysteries by Thomas Perry. I enthusiastically tell her all about them. I put a copy of The Face-Changers in her hands.

"Do you have them used?"

"No," I say, in defeat. "But I have plenty of good books over there."

I go show her all the 'good' used books, and she buys one and leaves.

But she leaves behind the GREAT book, the book she'd have always remembered, the character she would've wanted to find the next in the series and so on.

I mean, you know. She'll probably enjoy the 'good book' just fine.

But she left behind the GREAT BOOK!...............

Pretend and extend, extend and pretend....

A couple of recent articles to which I find myself having unexpected reactions.

The first is by Jim Quinn on The Burning Platform website: "Consumer Deleveraging = Commercial Real Estate Collapse."

This site and author are turning into the "go to" for information about CRE -- which is an important subject, but one which doesn't seem to capture most people's imagination.

Distilled down, he saying that the overbuilt and overinflated property values have dropped so much, that the lenders are never going to get their money back; that there is a planned "Pretend and Extend" program in place, encouraged by the government, and that if the true value was put onto the regional and local banks, most of them would be insolvent.

Oh, and that the worst is yet to come.

Well, I've commented on the way I think American commercial space was built on a ponzi growth scheme.

But I also have the unexpected reaction of: what else can they do? Let it all crash all at once or spin it out and hope for the best? The reason for this reaction is that there has been more than once or twice in my career when I was probably technically insolvent, but I kept paying the minimums, and stretching my bills, and hoping it would work out.

And in the end, it did. And now I'm a going concern, paying taxes, paying employees, paying my bills and myself.

So Pretend and Extend makes sense. Assuming that at least some of the CRE interests can recover...


The other article was about how big corporate companies are hanging onto their cash and/or reinvesting in their own stock, instead of hiring new employees or making capital expenditures.

As you know, I'm no friend of Big Corporations. But again, I had the interesting reaction of thinking, "But, of course. What else would they do?"

Or more to the point, how is that so different from what a small business would do? Hang onto the cash, cut employee hours, don't buy anything fancy.

I guess I believe that Muddling Through is the normal course of events.

Thanks for the compliment, now buy something!

I know some of you appreciate me telling you when I have a particularly wonkish entry, so this one is mostly about business.


So how is it that I've managed to create the store I like, and yet have it perform so lacklusterly sometimes? How can I have a store that so many people find intriguing enough to compliment me, and yet have so few of the same people buying from me?

I think it's because we're off the beaten track, out of the mainstream. The same thing that intrigues everyone and so interests me, is the same thing that most people aren't interested enough to buy.

Because if it was product that was in the mainstream, they could find it at the mass market outlets. (Comics sell to a very small percentage of the population -- but that's why I'm the only guy selling them.)

The reason I sell the "out of the mainstream" material, is because it's the only material that is left in the marketplace that I can realistically sell. It's what the market has given me.

If it was just price, I think I could compete. I could get within shouting distance of the mass market prices, and make up for it with service, selection, convenience and knowledge. But pricing isn't it.

It's a much bigger fabric of intertwining advantages that the manufacturers have given to the mass market. Most people don't even seem aware of this. They think it's all about volume discounting and more efficiency and the bigger size. They think that independents haven't been able to compete, and thus don't deserve to survive.

But it isn't a level playing field. Not even close.

I repeat, it isn't about the price.

The only way I know to explain this, is to use a couple of products as examples.

People come into my store all the time looking for Marvel toys. You'd think Spider-man and Hulk and Daredevil and Wolverine toys would be a natural fit, right? I carry Marvel comics, and I carry toys.

So here's the problem. One, admittedly, is price. I'm paying about the same price that the mass market sells the same toy. But, as I said, I could compete if that's all it was. I'd accept a smaller margin and be within acceptable range. Say, sell a toy a chain store has for 5.99 for 7.99. A couple dollars difference.

But....I know from experience that I'm likely to get that case of toys two to three months AFTER it's already shown up in the mainstream marketplace.

Secondly, every case of toys has twelve figures. I have no choice as to what figures I get, or what quantities. There may be 6 figures available, overall, but I may get 1 each of 3 of them, 3 each of 3 of them of them, and none of two of them. At random. (In the last case of Lord of the Rings toys, I got 6 Gollum toys, which no one wanted at the time.)

Now if I'm a mass market store, if I get 10 cases those numbers might even out. Me? I can afford one case, maybe two.

But actually, for the mass market it doesn't matter how uneven the distribution. Because at the end of the selling period, they are either given a credit for unsold toys, which they can then blow out for a further profit, or they send them back.

So....assuming I've accepted the smaller profit margin, I need to sell about 9 or 10 out of the 12 figures in every case just to break even.

As I said, the toys come in randomly and vary from series to series, but a good rule of thumb is that out of every case, 3 toys are sure sellers, 3 toys are probable sellers, 3 toys are possible sellers, and 3 toys are real dogs which will take years to sell if they ever do.

As I said above, it doesn't matter to the chain stores -- they put all the toys out for the same price, so Spider-man costs the same as the Taskmaster toy.

What ends up happening, of course, is the Spider-man and Hulk and Daredevil toys sell instantly, and the rest become what is known in the trade as "Shelf-Huggers."

The mass marketers just apply the credit for the unsold toys to the next wave of toys, which they get in three months before me, and I'm still sitting on the last batch of shelf-huggers.

I have figured out only one way to fight this -- charge more for the better figures. So now, the price differential is 5.99 versus 14.99, or something. And even that only brings me to a break-even situation. And makes us look bad.

The only toy line I carry that I'm willing to do this with, are Star Wars toys. I get a case of 12 toys in, and there is one Yoda in there, or a Boba Fett. I put it on the wall for 19.99. Six months later, the toy can't be found anywhere, and someone may actually buy the toy from me.

And yet, I probably still have three or four toys left out of that case, and even selling Bobba Fett and Yoda for 19.99, I probaby have only broken even. So I look bad, breaking even. I do it for Star Wars, because love Star Wars and because people accept that five years after the toy came out, it might cost more.

Even if I am successful at selling all the toys, it's still less than half the margin I get on most of my product, and I'm probably better off using the cash, space, time and energy selling other stuff.

I'm not even talking about the shipping, credit terms, and other advantages the mass market has.

But even all the above would be something I think I could compete with, at least some of the time, except for one thing -- Exclusives.

Exclusives come in two flavors. One is, a unique item only offered to that outlet. And secondly, unique packaging only offered to that outlet.

Packaging is important. If I have a box that looks exactly like a box in a chain store but which costs 5 times more money, which do you think Grandma is going to buy? She's not going to look to see that there is only 20% of the packs.

Or that I have to pay 5 times as much, for the privilege of carrying a the minimum amount.

The best example of exclusivity I have is an old one, back when Fleer was first selling basketball cards. They had packs that you could buy at the mass market that had "exclusive" Rookie Sensations. For the hobby, we had the "exclusive" Foreign Stars.

So you could buy from a grocery store, a Rookie Sensation Kobe Bryant, or you could buy from me, a Foreign Star Detlef Schremf. You can imagine how that worked out.

A really good example of both advantageous packaging and exclusivity is when Marvel -- probably my biggest supplier of material -- created Marvel Masterworks in two editions.

These were the original Spider-man, Hulk, Daredevil, etc. silver age comics everyone remembers. The comic store version was hardcover and 49.99. The softcover version was 14.99 -- and available only through Barnes and Noble. Nice.

This kind of thing isn't 'competition' unless you think bringing a knife to a gunfight is competition.

Packaging and exclusives are almost always in the favor of the chain stores. Even if they weren't, their sheer volume ends up making those the items people are looking to complete.

Not coincidentally, both of the above examples are products that generally don't have a printed Suggested Retail Price -- which means the mass market can price less and I can price more -- and it's acceptable either way.

Much harder -- if not impossible -- to carry anything above the SRP. Books and comics have suggested SRP, and that's what I sell them for. People may understand they can buy them cheaper from Costco, but they aren't usually outraged that you're selling them for regular price.

You just don't sell them much.

So that's the direction I've been moving into. Carrying mainstream product as regular price and hoping I can make enough to make it work. Because of my location, I've needed to move as close to the mainstream interests as I can get, and that has been books and boardgames.

At the same time, keeping the specialty product than no one else carries.

I think this is going to be the model for specialty stores in the future -- independents are going to need to compete both at the mainstream level, and at the same time look for niches that they can exploit.

It's a very fine line between popular and uncompetitive, and obscure and uninterested.

Stats? Doh!

Employee Matt has a blog, On The Subject of Being Awesome, which I think he started after working here. I think he set a goal of writing every day -- heh -- mostly fiction.

Anyway, he wanted to show me something on the Stats button on Blogger. He wanted to show how many foreign hits he was getting. And wanted to know if my blog was getting them too.

"Stats?" I asked. "What's that?"

Sure enough, there's a stats button that must have been added relatively recently. Anyway, I'd decided a couple of years ago that I didn't really want to know how many people were reading my blog, and I told him that.

"Oh, it won't show you that if you're just looking for sources...."

"O.K." I said, curious. So I hit the stats button. DOH! DOUBLE DOH! Right away I see the stats I'm trying to avoid; Matt quickly changes the page, but it's too late. Now I'm curious, so I start exploring....

I've decided that, overall, my hit rate is a little pathetic for a four year old blog, which has been written on everyday. But then again, for a local blog with local readers, it isn't so bad. I figure about half the hits are people seeking out the blog, and about half are by accident.

What it did, was make me curious about the beginnings of the blog, so I went back-- I've been saying this blog is 3 years old, but really it's nearly 4 years old. At first, I had very few comments. But I also got a bit of notice by the local press, early on. When blogging was "new."

(What was amazing is how consistent the themes and subjects have been, especially about the store.

It's kind of amusing to see how many times I say, "I finally have the store the way I want it and I won't need to make so many changes," because that's the same thing I'm currently thinking and saying.

To put that in perspective, for most of my career, I never had as much inventory as I wanted. Still, the more things change the more they stay the same.)

Back to the stats. Trouble is, once I start checking them, it becomes addicting.

In an ideal world, content would be everything -- but the amount of spam I get, tells me different. I suppose monetizing this site would be throwing in the last towel. There is an interactive element to blogging that I've not ignored, exactly, but maybe I've put on the back burner.

I do love the comments.

I've decided to add labels consistently, now that I'm checking the numbers again, to see if that has any effect.

I've been interested in the 'writing' part of a blog -- and I write about what I know -- downtown Bend and my small business. I don't include pictures, but blogs do lend themselves to the visuals, and I'm not totally opposed to them, either.

That's the thing about blogs that I realized early on: Blogs can be ANYTHING you WANT them to be.

How liberating!

What a mess.

I sort of gave my son the advice to walk away from his house, a couple of years ago, even though it's probably not what I would do in the same circumstance.

Indeed, when I owed the credit cards a fortune, I fought through to pay back though it didn't make much sense at the time.

Toby was too proud, and too stubborn to take my advice, and is currently in negotiations to 'short sell' his house.

Anyway, with all the recent news about foreclosures being in dispute, it might be a good argument for hanging in there. Because the guys trying to take over your house may be bogus.

These SOB's may not have the goods. They may not be able to Prove Their Legal ownership.

If enough people challenge these bastards in court -- "Prove to me that I'm actually supposed to pay you," maybe they'll will start being a bit more accommodating about adjusting the loans.

What a mess. And more proof that we Americans aren't so damn efficient after all. (As if we needed more proof after New Orleans and Iraq -- not to mention the potholed roads and broken down bridges....)

Mark Zuckerberg can cringe all the way to the bank

Watched "The Social Network" last night.

Strangely, my reaction was to actually get interested in Facebook for the first time. I still doubt I'll join, but I have to wonder if a lot of people -- perhaps older folk -- will make the leap.

The movie actually shows almost nothing about the actual ins and outs of the site.

And my reaction was to actually feel sorry for the guy --

Poor little billionaire.

Downtown Comings and Goings

I've been a little sluggish about listing these. It isn't always as clear cut as it seems. For instance, if a store is rumored to be 'going' and it has a FOR LEASE sign in the window, what am I to think when the sign disappears but the store is still there? Did the space lease to someone else and the store is leaving soon? Or did the store make an accommodation with the landlord?

I've heard strong rumors of stores leaving, but a strong rumor is still a rumor, and people can change their minds.

SO I've been more inclined to wait for confirmation, and lately it seems as though some of these stores actually open before I list them!

Giddyup has opened across the street from us where Volcano Vineyards was. (The grapes must always be greener somewhere else for Volcano). Saw the owner opening this morning, welcomed her to downtown, and found out she has a store in Prineville. A clothing store.

The Antiquarian is back, where Oxygen Tattoo was, don't know where they went.

Great Outdoor Clothing apparently left without me noticing before.

A place called Dalia and Emilia is moving into the Microsphere space. "Purveyors of Fine Goods."
Well, aren't we all.

A new art gallery is going into the space of Finders Keepers, but no name yet. A word of advice --it doesn't hurt to spark anticipation to put the name of your store up in the window....


NEW BUSINESSES DOWNTOWN

Dalia and Emilia, Wall St., 10/3/10.
Antiquarian Books, Bond St., 10/3/10.
Giddyup, Minnesota Ave., 10/3/10.
The Closet, Minnesota Ave., 8/11/10.
Showcase Hats, Oregon Ave., 8/11/10,
Red Chair Art Gallery, Oregon Ave. 7/13/10.
Earth Sense Herbs, Penny's Galleria, 7/12/10.
Mad Happy Lounge, Brooks St., 6/2910
Common Table, Oregon Ave. , 6/29/10.
Looney Bean Coffee, Brooks St. , 6/29/10.
Bourbon Street, Minnesota Ave., 6/22/10
Feather's Edge, Minnesota Ave., 6/22/10
The BLVD., Wall St. , 6/13/10.
Volt, Minnesota Ave. 6/1/10.
Tart, Minnesota Ave. , 5/13/10
Olivia Hunter, Wall St. 4/5/10.
Tres Chic, Bond St. 4/5/10
Blue Star Salon, Wall St. 4/1/10.
Lululemon, Bond St. 3/31/10.
Diana's Jewel Box, Minnesota Ave., 3/25/10.
Amalia's, Wall St. (Ciao Mambo space), 3/12/10
River Bend Fine Art, Bond St. (Kebanu space) 2/23/10
Federal Express, Oregon Ave. 2/1/10
***10 Below, Minnesota Ave. 1/10/10
Tew Boots Gallery, Bond St. 1/8/10.
Top Leaf Mate, 12/10/09
Laughing Girls Studio, Minnesota Ave. 12/7/09
Lemon Drop, 5 Minnesota Ave., 11/12/09
The Curiosity Shoppe 11/5/09 25 N.W. Minnesota Ave, Suite #7.
Wabi Sabi 11/4/09
Frugal Boutique 11/4/09
5 Spice 10/22/09
Cowgirls Cash 10/17/09
***Haven Home 10/17/09
Dog Patch 10/17/09
The Good Drop 10/12/09
Lola's 9/23/09
**Volcano Wines 9/15/09
Singing Sparrow Flowers 8/16/09
Northwest Home Interiors 8/5/09
High Desert Frameworks 7/23/09 (*Moved to Oregon Ave. 4/5/10.)
Wall Street Gifts 7/--/09
Ina Louise 7/14/09
Bend Home Hardware (Homestyle Hardware?) 7/1/09
Altera Real Estate 6/9/09
Honey 6/7/09
Azura Studio 6/7/09
Mary Jane's 6/1/09
c.c.McKenzie 6/1/09
Velvet 5/28/09
Bella Moda 3/25/09
High Desert Gallery (Bend) 3/25/09
Joolz
Zydeco
900 Wall
Great Outdoor Store
Luxe Home Interiors
Powell's Candy
Dudley's Used Books and Coffee
Goldsmith
Game Domain
Subway Sandwiches
Bend Burger Company
Showcase Hats
Pita Pit
Happy Nails

BUSINESSES LEAVING

Lola's, Breezeway, 10/8/10.
Oxygen Tattoo, Bond St., 10/3/10.
Great Outdoor Clothing, Wall St., 10/3/10.
Volcano Vineyards, Minnesota Ave., 10/3/10.
Subway Sandwiches, Bond St. 9/2/10.
Urban Minx, Minnesota Ave., 8/11/10
Old Bend Distillery, Brooks St., 6/19/10.
Staccato, Minnesota Ave. 6/18/10.
Showcase Hats, Minnesota Ave., 6/1/10
Cork, Oregon Ave., 5/27/10.
Wall Street Gifts, 5/26/10
Microsphere, Wall St. , 5/17/10.
Singing Sparrow, Franklin and Bond, 5/15/10
28, Minnesota Ave. and Bond, 5/13/10.
Glass Symphony, Wall St., 3/25/10
Bend Home Hardware, Minnesota Ave, 2/25/10
Ciao Mambo, Wall St. 2/4/10
***Angel Kisses 1/25/10 (Have moved to 'Honey.')
Ivy Rose Manor 8/20/09
***Downtowner 8/18/09 (moving into the Summit location)
Chocolate e Gateaux 8/16/09
Finders Keepers 8/15/09
Colourstone 7/25/09
Periwinkle 6/--/09
***Tangerine 7/21/09 (Got word, they are moving across the street.)
Micheal Cassidy Gallery 6/15/09
St. Claire Coffee 6/15/09
Luxe Home Interiors 6/4/09
Treefort 5/8/09
Blue 5/2/09
***Volcano Tasting Room 4/28/09** Moved to Minnesota Ave.
Habit 4/16/09
Mountain Comfort 4/14/09
Tetherow Property 4/11/09
Blue Moon Marketplace 3/25/09
Plenty 3/25/09
Downtown Doggie 3/25/09
***King of Sole (became Mary Janes)**
Santee Alley
Bistro Corlise
Made in Hawaii
EnVogue
Stewart Weinmann (leather)
Kebanu Gallery
Pella Doors and Windows
Olive company
Pink Frog
Little Italy
Deep
Merenda's
Volo
***Pomegranate (downtown branch)**
Norwalk
Pronghorn Real Estate office.
Speedshop Deli
Paper Place
Bluefish Bistro

C.S.I. Las Vegas jumps the shark.

Daring of them to have a shark highlight such a weak episode. CSI: LV has been going downhill for a year or two now, and last night may have been the last straw. I watch CSI: NY right after -- a show I usually skip -- and it actually had more authentic emotion than the original. (Though I was constantly distracted by the wide-eyed botox look of the new main female character.)

So far this season, there are a couple of nights where there are three shows on the same hour, and a couple of nights where there are no shows I want to watch at all. Thank goodness for DVR.

Of the new shows, I'm wavering on The Event, and will probably skip Hawaii Five-O.

I still watch House and Mentalist, on network T.V. And I really enjoyed The Good Wife, last year.
Fringe finally got intriguing enough at the end of the season to catch me. (I'm totally annoyed by the dithering of the crazy coot, who seems to be the character everyone else likes....)

I especially like Dexter and Boardwalk Empire (and True Blood when it's in season.)

I'm getting ready to let go of Castle, because it's getting too much about romance and too little about mystery.

I'm intrigued by Rubicon, but as I keep saying, I think it not long for this world....I hope they can wrap up the mystery before the end.

I watch Jon Stewart every night. (Ariana Huffington was on the other night, and told Linda she was the daughter of Zsa Zsa Gabor. "Really?" she said. Heh.)

I'm trying to keep it around this level of watching -- which is still probably too much. Linda likes shows that I can easily skip, the Law and Order series, Bones, NCIS, etc. I just go off and read.
Probably will happen start happening with Castle, The Event, and Hawaii Five-O which she likes. I don't watch reruns, if I've seen them.


Later. I skipped Hawaii Five-O, but watched the Event. I skipped the new Law and Orders. I'm done with those.

I've also been watching Covert Affairs and Nikita. Both are decent shows, but I may scrap one or both of them. Every year I stop watching a couple of decent shows, because I feel like I'm spending too much time not reading.